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1、SentimentPredictabilityforStocksJordanProsky1,AndrewTan2,MichaelZhao3,XingyouSong4Abstract—Inthiswork,wepresentour?ndingsandex-VIConclusions8perimentsforstock-marketpredictionusingvarioustextualsentimentanalysistools,suchasmoodanalysisandeventVIIAPPENDIX9extraction,aswell
2、aspredictionmodels,suchasLSTMsandspeci?cconvolutionalarchitectures.References9CONTENTSI.INTRODUCTIONIIntroduction1Stockmarketpredictionisanimportanttime-serieslearn-ingproblemin?nanceandeconomics.AccordingtotheIIRelevantandPreviousWorks1semi-strongformoftheef?cientmarketh
3、ypothesis(EMH),II-AAggregateTwitterPredictionofDowmarketsareef?cientandstockpricesalreadyre?ectallpub-Jones..................2liclyavailableinformationsuchas?nancialnewsandpriceII-BStockMovementPredictionUsingdata.Thishypothesisincorporatestheweak-formEMH,NewsArticleTitle
4、swithSVMs...2whichimpliesthatstockpricesre?ectallmarketinformation,II-CDeepLearninginFinance.......2asubsetofpublicdata.Semi-strongformEMHassumesIIIIndividualStockPrediction2thatthemarketadjustsquicklytoabsorbnewinformationIII-ADif?culties...............2andstockpricesre?
5、ectallnewavailableinformation.GivenIII-BAdvancedTextualInformationAp-thisassumptionandthefactthatinvestorspurchasestocksproaches................3afterpublicinformationisreleased,aninvestortheoreticallycannotbene?toroutperformthemarketbytradingonnewIVExperiments3informatio
6、n.Severalstudiescontradictthishypothesis,andIV-AStockPriceandFinancialNewsData3throughourresearch,weshowthatweareabletooutperformIV-A.1WebsitesUsed.......3themarketusingacombinationofdeeplearning,temporalIV-A.2SentimentAnalyzer....3data,andnewsarticles.IV-A.3OpenIEExtract
7、orandOurreportfocusesontheuseofvarioustime-seriesandWord2Vec.........3NLPtechniquestoextractinformationaboutanindividualIV-A.4DeepLearningPackages.3stock’schanceofclosinghigherorlowerthanitsopeningIV-BSetup..................3price.WetakeadvantageofthetemporalnatureofbothI
8、V-B.1LSTM-BasedMoodPre-stockpricedataand?nancialnewsdata.InSection2,wediction...........3explore